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    • Patrick Brennan(512) 773-3361
      patrick@teamprice.com
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    • Team Price Real Estate
      7320 N Mo-Pac
      Austin, TX 78731
      (512) 213-0213
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    Georgetown, Cedar Park, Round Rock

    Lead Austin Housing Market Update April 2026

    Not all Austin suburbs are reading from the same script right now, and that gap is growing wider by the month.

    The austin real estate market on April 16, 2026 carries 15,574 active residential listings, a 2.5% increase over this same date last year. That headline number tells part of the story, but the real narrative is written at the city and zip code level, where outcomes for buyers and sellers vary dramatically depending on which market they are in. Understanding those distinctions has rarely mattered more.

    Scroll down to view the full Austin Daily Real Estate Briefing PDF for April 16, 2026.

    Start with what is working. Cedar Park is one of the clearest standouts in today's austin market update. With just 2.90 months of inventory, Cedar Park sits comfortably in the Seller Edge zone, and its Activity Index has climbed above 33%, placing it in the Expansion phase where demand is strong and prices hold. Round Rock tells a similar story, with an Activity Index above 31% in several zip codes and a Warm market classification at the city level. Pflugerville is carrying an Activity Index of 25.60% and an absorption rate that puts it among the stronger performers in the metro. For buyers considering these communities, the data suggests less room to negotiate and faster decision timelines.

    Buda is also earning attention as a relative bright spot. Its buyer-to-seller ratio of 1.6 sellers per buyer is one of the tightest in the metro, placing it in the Warm category alongside Round Rock. Buda's months of inventory has actually improved meaningfully year over year, dropping from 4.32 in April 2025 to 3.33 today, a 22.9% decline. That kind of directional shift in a market of Buda's size is a signal worth watching.

    Georgetown presents a more layered picture. It holds the largest inventory of any single city in the data set at 1,143 active listings, but its Months of Inventory has improved year over year, falling from 5.30 in April 2025 to 4.93 today, a 7.1% improvement. The city's Activity Index of 22.20% places it in the Softening phase, but the trajectory is moving in the right direction. Georgetown's median sold price of $429,000 reflects a 4.7% year-over-year decline, yet the city's long-term appreciation rate since 2000 sits at a 4.0% compound annual rate, keeping it well within the range of historically sound investment territory for a long-term austin housing forecast lens.

    On the other end of the spectrum, several outer suburbs are under notable pressure. Jarrell carries 10.82 months of inventory, placing it deep in Buyer Control territory. Kyle's inventory has improved from 5.12 months last April to 4.82 today, a modest 5.7% gain, but its resale Activity Index of 17.26% still sits in the Contraction zone. Lockhart, Manchaca, and Dale all face elevated inventory readings that give buyers significant negotiating leverage. The outer fringe of the austin housing market, particularly in areas with heavy new construction exposure, continues to feel the weight of excess supply.

    The new construction story deserves its own paragraph. Of the 15,574 active listings metro-wide, 3,683 are new construction, representing just under 24% of all inventory. New construction accounts for 1,812 of the 4,986 current pending listings, a 36% share of pending activity on roughly 24% of total supply. That math reflects the continued appeal of builder incentives including rate buydowns and price reductions that make the numbers work for buyers in ways resale simply cannot match right now. The new construction Activity Index of 32.98% sits in the Expansion phase, compared to the resale index of 21.07% in the Softening phase. That divergence is one of the defining features of the current austin real estate forecast.

    Price behavior across the metro is telling a nuanced story at the percentile level. The bottom 25th percentile of homes sold in April 2026 posted a 3.06% price decline and a 7.09% decline in price per square foot compared to April 2025. The top 25th percentile saw a 3.89% price decline and a 4.00% drop in price per square foot. Both segments are softening, but the cost-per-square-foot pressure is more acute at the entry level, which matters most for first-time buyers and investors targeting lower price points. The median sold price of $445,000 is nearly flat, down just $500 from April 2025's $445,500, which is arguably one of the most stabilizing data points in today's austin market update.

    The broader absorption picture reinforces a market that is working, but slowly. The Absorption Rate of 21.43% is below both the historical average of 31.45% and the median of 26.2% for April across all years on record. The Market Flow Score of 4.94 similarly sits below the historical average of 6.56, reflecting a market where inventory is being absorbed at a below-average pace. Neither number signals crisis. What they signal is a deliberate, buyer-favorable environment where patience is rewarded and overpriced listings accumulate days on market at a steady clip.

    For buyers, the city-level data argues strongly for precision over generality. Asking what the Austin market is doing is less useful today than asking what Cedar Park is doing versus what Jarrell is doing. Those are two entirely different buying environments in April 2026. Buyers who do their homework on city-specific absorption rates, months of inventory, and activity indexes are walking into negotiations with a genuine edge.

    For sellers, the 47% price-drop rate across all active listings is a persistent reminder that the market is enforcing discipline on original list prices. Sellers in Cedar Park, Round Rock, and Buda have more cushion. Sellers in Kyle, Lockhart, and the outer suburbs need pricing strategies grounded in the current data, not last year's comps.

    You can track every city and suburb in this report daily through Austin Daily Real Estate Briefing at teamprice.com/austin-daily-real-estate-briefing for the complete archive of daily market data.

    If this PDF does not display, click here to open in a new tab .

    FAQ

    What is the difference between average and median home price in Austin?

    The average home price and the median home price measure the Austin housing market from different angles, and understanding both helps buyers and sellers get an accurate read on conditions. The average sold price in April 2026 is $576,857, calculated by adding up all sale prices and dividing by the number of transactions. The median sold price is $445,000, meaning exactly half of all homes sold for more than that figure and half sold for less. When the average is significantly higher than the median, as it is today, it tells you that a relatively small number of high-priced sales are pulling the average upward, while most transactions are clustered at a lower price point. For buyers setting a realistic budget and for sellers pricing competitively in the current austin real estate market, the median is typically the more useful benchmark.

    What are the best areas to buy a home in Austin right now?

    Based on today's data, Cedar Park, Round Rock, and Buda stand out as areas offering relative market stability compared to the broader metro. Cedar Park has just 2.90 months of inventory, an Activity Index above 33%, and a Warm to Expansion-phase classification, meaning homes are moving at a stronger pace with less negotiating leverage for buyers than in softer markets. Round Rock's Activity Index exceeds 31% in several zip codes and carries a Warm city-level classification, supported by a sellers-per-buyers ratio of 2.3. Buda's ratio has fallen to 1.6 sellers per buyer, one of the tightest in the metro, and its months of inventory has improved nearly 23% year over year. For buyers with more flexibility on timing and maximum leverage, outer suburbs like Jarrell at 10.82 months of inventory and Lockhart at 8.42 months offer a significantly different negotiating environment within the current austin housing market.

    Is Austin real estate a good long-term investment in 2026?

    The long-term case for austin real estate as an investment rests on historical appreciation that has compounded at 4.74% annually over 25 years, a rate that has supported meaningful wealth building across multiple market cycles. The current median sold price of $445,000 is down 19.1% from the May 2022 peak of $550,000, which is precisely the kind of pullback that historically precedes the next appreciation cycle in this market. Market projections based on the 25-year compound rate suggest a return to peak values around December 2030, assuming the current price represents the correction bottom. Investors focused on long-run holding periods, particularly in supply-constrained corridors like Cedar Park or areas with improving inventory trends like Georgetown, are entering at a more attractive basis than at any point since 2019. The austin real estate forecast for the longer term favors those who prioritize position over short-term sentiment.

    What does a softening real estate market mean for Austin homebuyers?

    A softening market means that the pace of sales is slowing relative to available inventory, giving buyers more options, more time, and more negotiating power than they had during the peak years of 2021 and 2022. In today's austin housing data, the resale Activity Index of 21.07% places the market firmly in the Softening phase, defined by slower sales and rising inventory, and 47% of all active listings have already received at least one price reduction. For buyers, this translates to real negotiating latitude, especially in outer suburbs where months of inventory exceeds 8 or 9 months. It also means that the risk of overbidding and overpaying has dropped substantially, and that sellers are more willing to offer concessions on closing costs, repairs, and price. Buyers who were priced out or outbid during the frenzy of 2021 and 2022 are finding that the current austin market update reflects fundamentally different and more favorable conditions.

    How do pending listings in Austin predict where the market is going?

    Pending listings are a leading indicator because they reflect purchase contracts that are signed but not yet closed, showing you where buyer demand is heading before it appears in closed sale data. As of today, pending listings stand at 4,986, up 3.0% year over year compared to 4,839 at this same point in 2025. That year-over-year improvement is a constructive demand signal, suggesting that buyers are actively engaging with the market even as inventory remains elevated. New construction leads the pending count with 1,812 contracts, representing a disproportionately large share of activity given its share of total supply, reflecting the continued pull of builder incentives. When pending counts rise alongside rising inventory, as is the case now, the Activity Index can remain stable or even dip slightly, which is why today's 24.3% Activity Index looks nearly identical to last year's 24.2% despite more listings and more pending sales both being present simultaneously. Tracking pending counts city by city, as today's austin real estate briefing does, gives agents and buyers the earliest possible read on where momentum is building and where it is stalling.

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    Have a Question or Want to Dive Deeper?

    If you’d like a custom breakdown of the data, want help interpreting today’s market trends, or just have a question about buying or selling in Austin, let us know. Fill out the form below and a member of our team will get back to you promptly.